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MAIN CARD
Main Event
Light Heavyweight Title Fight
#2 Scotty Bennet (14-0, 1-0 NGF) v #1 Brett Riverboat (12-2, 7-2 NGF)
OMG! This is such a good title fight, I can’t believe how exciting of a matchup this is, epic, fight of the year? I don’t know, but this is going to have fireworks and with only 2 fights that have gone to decision combined with these two, it’s almost a forgone conclusion that his fight is going to have a violent finish. Scotty Bennet, I don’t know what else you can say about this guy other than he’s amazing, one of the top MMA fighters in the game. He does everything so well, but obviously, the name of this game is don’t get hit, and he doesn’t. He’s only averaging a little over 7 strikes to land per fight, which is nothing compared to his 23.1 average strikes landed. He has excellent take down defense also, and when he has gotten taken down, he has controlled well, improved and gotten back standing pretty quickly. He has some of the nastiest elbow in the NGF, and he’ll throw around 5 of them a fight. To say that Brett Riverboat is on a roll is pretty much an understatement, but he is a winner of 7 straight, all by (T)KO. He is thrilling to watch, cutting his opponents with any number of strikes, including elbows. He can 1 punch KO someone too, holding 6 KO wins in his career. He is a solid kick boxer, but he is a strong Muay Thai fighter. He averages 5.1 head punches standing and 5.3 in the clinch landing 57% of those. It’s in the clinch where he does most of his damage, often rocking or cutting up opponents with quick punches or elbows. One problem area is all this clinch work has caused him to cut often as well as he cuts up his opponents, so we are sure to see a very bloody fight. Such a good fight, I find it very hard to pick a winner. I guess I’m going to take the Bennet, but Riverboat can end this one with his power. This is going to be good. PREDICTION: Bennet 2nd round TKO/BETTING: -111 Scotty Bennet v Brett Riverboat -111
Co-Main Event:
Light Heavyweight Fight
#5 Dragon Warfist (4-1-1 NGF) v #7 Johnny Jackson (11-4, 2-1 NGF)
Two of the biggest monsters in the light heavyweight division meet, this one is for sure a favorite for FOTN. Dragon Warfist is coming off a win at NGF 45 where he survived a ground assault from Michael Galustyan. Warfist has excellent finishing power, he doesn’t land a real high percentage of any strike, but he unloads KO power with each strike. His striking defense is very good and he has exceptional ground defense, opponents are averaging 17.7 ground strikes attempted while just landing 4.3 of them. He also seems to have a skill for cutting his opponents; this not only makes him scary but very dangerous. Warfist also has very good kicks, he love to chop at opponents legs, he averages 12.8 leg kicks per fight and over all, he averages 24 kicks per fight. Johnny Jackson won his first 2 fights in the NGF, then he was given the tile shot which he lost to Brett Riverboat at Sunday Night Fights 2. Jackson is 7-1 in his last 8 fights, 5 TKO wins, 1 KO win and 1 decision win. Jackson usually has quick fights, only 4 of his career fights have gone past the 1st round. He will look to get a fight into the clinch as soon as he can, he has remarkable Muay Thai skills, and his head punch in the clinch might be the best in the NGF. He averages 17.7 head punches in the clinch and lands 66% of them. Standing he has pin point accuracy, landing 84% of his head punches, 89% of his body punches, 75% of his leg kicks and 70% of his body kicks. If you want to look for a weakness, it’s his ground game. Try and take him down, he does have good take down defense, but that’s where you want to try and attack him, he can be submitted. I think Jackson is just a little stronger than Warfist at this point; I like Jackson’s power to be the decider in this one. PREDICTION: Jackson 1st round TKO/BETTING: +135 Dragon Warfist v Johnny Jackson -167
Lightweight Fight
#19 Mr E Guest (8-4, 1-1 NGF) v #18 Mitch Mitchel (9-4, 1-1 NGF)
Here we go, the classic boxer vs Jiu Jitsu fighter, will it be by submission or by KO? Mr E Guest is not exciting, he’s really got no power, but he is very smart and he can dominate a fight on the ground. Guest averages 2.3 head punches per fight and 2.7 take downs per fight. He’s better in the clinch than standing, he doesn’t spend a whole lot of time there, but he lands and doesn’t get hurt in the clinch. He is very good with his take down skills, he is getting 58% of his take downs from standing and 33% of them from the clinch. Once down, it’s usually all over, he averages 8 ground strikes and landing 65% of them, he also improves his position 53% successfully, while holding opponents to just 26% success. He also uses is brown belt bjj skills, he has 5 submission wins and he averages 4.2 submission attempts per fight. Mitch Mitchel will have to try and keep this fight standing at all costs. Mitchel is a very powerful fighter, he has 8 (T)KO wins in his career. He has very good wrestling skills, but he doesn’t try to use them for offense, his skills shine with his take down defense, which has him defending a remarkable 93% of take downs from standing position. He is very aggressive, he will push the pace, he averages 23.1 head punches landing on 66% of them and 14.7 body punches landing 73% of them. He has good movement to avoid head punches, but body punches are landing 61% of the time and leg kicks land82% of the time. Will Mitchel’s take down defense keep this one standing and wear out Guest? There’s a good chance of that, and if that’s the case, Mitchel put Guest out. PREDICTION: Mitchel 2nd round TKO/BETTING: -178 Mr E Guest v Mitch Mitchel +144
Lightweight Fight
#11 Lance Rock (8-8, 6-3 NGF) v #4 Pasi Nurminen (14-7-2, 3-2 NGF)
Lance Rock is 1-1 since coming back to the NGF, but he seems a little upset these days. He is coming into this one off a loss, and he and his camp also don’t like the fact that it’s been 30 days in between fights. We’ll see if that anger carries into the fight. A sensational kick boxer and wrestler, Rock has very good power, but a lot of that power comes when he has mounted someone on the ground. He’s not a high percentage strike lander, but he will connect with major force, cutting and puffing up faces. He averages 3.9 take downs per fight, and he’s successful on 29% of them. Once on the ground, he’ll use his ground and pound to finish a fight, averaging 6.6 ground strikes per fight and 2.1 ground strikes landed per fight. Pasi Nurminen was once 1-5 in a stretch, but has turned it around going 3-1 in his last 4. He is a well rounded fighter, he will mainly kick box and Muay Thai, but he will used is wrestling to get a take down here and there to impress the judges. He has 8 decision wins in his career and 7 of his last 8 wins have come by decision. His conditioning is possibly his best skill, but he also has very good striking defense and his take down defense is quite good, defending 85% of take down attempts. He’s mainly a puncher, his kicks are rare to see, but he’ll average 12 head punches standing and 17 in the clinch. Nurminen will win this fight if he can get the fight in the clinch, he is just too much for Rock there, but I like Rocks power over Pasi. PREDICTION: Nurminen decision win/BETTING: +100 Lance Rock v Pasi Nurminen -122
Lightweight Fight
#20 DoDo Bird (2-1 NGF) v #10 James Jameson (9-3, 4-3 NGF)
DoDo Bird is a fantastic kick boxer who has rebounded after dropping his NGF debut fight with back to back wins over Jacob Hill and Wade Drew, both by head kick. After 3 fights, Bird has pretty much dominated in all areas, he has deadly kicks, he looks for head kicks often, averaging 12 a fight and he is landing them 53% of the time, he also has landed 100% of his attempted leg kicks. What’s crazy about this guy is he never seems to miss, is surprising when he does miss. He averages 8.3 head punches and he has landed 100% of those as well. He will eat up the body with kicks, averaging 14.3 a fight and lands 88% of them. With the combination of body kicks and then he uses a little switch kick, this guy is one of the most dangerous lightweights in the division. James Jameson is one of the more inconsistent fighters in then NGF, it’s been w,l,w,l,w,l,w since joining the NGF, never a winning streak, never a losing streak, ok, so maybe he is consistent. He likes to stay standing, he will be aggressive, averaging over 21 punches standing and he uses very good leg kicks to wear out his opponent. He has shown good skills in the clinch as well, he is landing 74% of his head punches in the clinch. On the ground he has shown good submission defense skills, but he mostly tries to get back to his feet. His striking defense has been good, he’s a pretty quick fighter, so he can dart in and out and avoid much damage. His one weakness that might have an effect in this fight is he has been body kicked at 69%, that’s not where you want to be weak at against DoDo. PREDICTION: Bird 2nd round KO/BETTING: -138 DoDo Bird v James Jameson +113
PRELIM CARD
Light Heavyweight Fight
#13 Mads Rosenkilde (9-5-1, 0-1-1 NGF) v #16 Noob Saibot (7-3, 1-1 NGF)
Mads Rosenkilde desperately needs a win in this one to get out of the 0-3-1 funk he’s in. Rosenkilde will avoid the ground like the plague, or at least he should, 4 of his 5 loses have come by submission. He will try and keep a fight standing where he is landing 73% of his head strikes and 77% of his leg kicks. He will also use his exceptional Muay Thai skills, he is averaging 8.8 head punches in the clinch and he lands 71% of them. He has very good defensive skills where he is allowing just 30% of head punches to land and he has yet to have been hit by a body punch or combo. Noob Saibot is a ground specialist…let me repeat this, he’s a ground specialist and Rosenkilde avoids the ground like the plague…ouch. Saibot has 5 submission wins and he averages 2.5 submission attempts per fight. He is a good stand up fighter too, but he will get a fight to the ground when he wants to end it, he is successful on 43% of his take down attempts. This one will be interesting, it will be a test of if Rosenkilde can get in and clinch up with Noob, or will Saibot be able to shot and get a take down. PREDICTION: Saibot 2nd round submission/BETTING: +217 Mads Rosenkilde v Noob Saibot -277
Welterweight Fight
#21 Dmitry Timonyn (9-7-1, 4-4-1 NGF) v #11 Adam Yauch (7-3 NGF)
Dmitry Timonyn is just 1-3-1 in his last 5 and this former champion is trying to regain his swagger that got him to the top. Timonyn is accurate, he lands 90% of his head punches, but averages just 5 a fight, instead, he will look to throw in combinations, attempting an average of 32 combinations a fight, but he lands just 20% of them. He does have power, but his submission skills have been his best asset. He’s got good defense skills, but he can be beaten up in the clinch. 22 year old Adam Yauch already has 7 wins, but he’s still got a long way to go in his skills, but he does show improvement each fight. He is still raw in a lot of areas, but he’s got very good power and he can hurt his opponent quickly, having 6 of his fight not make it out of the 1st round. He still tends to lack on the defensive side and has shown little to no skills with his take downs and ground fighting. If Timonyn can get Yauch down this one won’t be much of a fight. PREDICTION: Timonyn 2nd round submission/BETTING: -150 Dmitry Timonyn v Adam Yauch +122
Bantamweight Fight
#12 John Keel (6-2, 1-0 NGF) v #18 Bill Nevin (9-5, 1-1 NGF)
Hard hitting John Keel will look to improve to 2-0 in the NGF by defeating the rather light hitting Bill Nevin. Keel looked awesome in his first NGF fight; he is a hard hitter and has won his last two fight by KO. Keel is super aggressive, averaging over 28 head punches per fight and he lands at a high % and has excellent striking defense. He is said to have exceptional Muay Thai skills, but he hasn’t really showed them in his career yet. He’s weakness is bjj, he does not have much talent there. Bill Nevin is a decisions machine; winning 5 of his 9 fights by decision and 5 of his last 6 fights have been decided by decision. Nevin is also a very aggressive fighter, he will push the pace and throw a ton of strikes, and he averages 27.1 head punches, 19.3 body punches and 16.4 leg kicks. He shows skills in Muay Thai, but he has been beaten up there. This one is going to be great; I say that a lot, but the styles of these fighters say lots of strikes, lots of action. Nevin is favored here, but I smell upset win. PREDICTION: Keel, 2nd round KO/BETTING: +133 John Keel v Bill Nevin -163
Middleweight Fight
#19 Dennis Bird (7-2, 0-0 NGF) v #13 Leroy Guns (7-4, 2-0 NGF)
Dennis Bird will make his NGF debut in this one, and this will be his 5th different organization he’s fought in. Bird has shown very good power with 6 (T)KO’s in his career. He has good stand up skills, and remarkable wrestling and he is getting 40% of his take downs. He has good ground and pound skills and can end a fight while on the mat. Leroy Guns hasn’t shown the power that some at middleweight have shown, but he is a very good ground fighter. He also is remarkable in wrestling, but he lacks at take down skills. He lands 64% of his head punches standing, and he is averaging 9 head punches per fight. I think this will be a ground battle, both have good ground and pound, this one should be a great fight. PREDICTION: Bird 2nd TKO round/BETTING: -130 Dennis Bird v Leroy Guns +106
Bantamweight Fight
#21 Ron Paul (4-1, 1-1 NGF) v #14 Jon Erik Andersen (11-9, 5-5 NGF)
Muay Thai fighter Ron Paul will try and beat multi-talented Jon Erik Andersen in this one. Paul likes to take fights into the clinch and use beautiful trip throws to get opponents down, he is exceptional at them getting take downs at 79% success rate from the clinch. He will then use his brown belt bjj skills to control a fight and wear out his opponents. JEA is a talented fighter, but he can’t seem to get on any sort of long winning streak. He’s coming off a loss to Yoshiteru Goto where he was simply annihilated! He can fight everywhere, but over his career, he just hasn’t shown great defense in any area, especially not on take down defense or in the clinch, and those are two areas that Paul excels in. I don’t like the chances for Andersen here; he’s really going to have to come up with a new game plan for this one. PREDICTION: Paul decision win/BETTING: -104 Ron Paul v Jon Erik Andersen -117
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