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 MAIN CARD
Main Event
Featherweight Fight
#12 Davis Davies (9-4, 0-0 NGF) v #8 Jean Van Dam (15-5, 1-1 NGF)
After 2 straight title fights we have our main event between NGF rookie Davis Davies and Jean Van Dam. Davies is a very aggressive stand up fighter, he pushes the pace from the opening bell averaging 15.8 head punches per fight and the way he fights, constantly moving forward and staying active, wins rounds for him alone. He will out strike his opponents nearly every fight, not a high percentage of a strike lander, but his total number of strikes landed per fight usually gives him easy decision wins. Where he can get finishes is on the ground, he has good power in his ground and pound and he also can capitalize on mistakes to lock up submissions. He has not got any kicking to his fighting style nor anything but punches, but he can certainly get the job done. Jean Van Dam had his 4 fight winning streak snapped in his last fight when he was submitted by Koji Murosaki. Van Dam is a sensational wrestler with excellent submission skills. Van Dam is, um, less than good as a stand-up fighter and that’s being nice, it’s like he’s shadow boxing when he throws a punch standing, almost like he doesn’t want it to land because it might hurt his hand or something. He averages 4.9 take downs per fight and he’s successful on 47% of them. On the mat is where Van Dam is going to win and he dominates there. He is constantly moving, active and aggressive; he is averaging 8.3 position improvements and 12.4 ground strikes per fight. He can just as easily punch someone until they are a bloody mess as he can get them tapping out with some sort of armbar or triangle. The simple plan to fight Van Dam is this…don’t get taken down. Seriously, you can beat Van Dam standing or in the clinch, but you will not beat him on the mat, he is a serious monster there, but other parts of his game have holes. PREDICTION: Van Dam 2nd round TKO
Co-Main Event:
Super Heavyweight Title Fight
#1 Shavo Odin (10-5, 2-0 NGF) v C-Samson Miodek (9-3, 4-1 NGF)
Shavo Odin comes into this fight winner of his last 3 fights and he’s been extremely impressive in each one. Odin who gets the most drug tests in the organization, has very good power he can end a fight quickly or he can go 3 rounds. He is exceptional on his feet and also has exceptional wrestling skills. He has shown he can kick box fine, but he’ll attempt 1.9 take downs and is successful on 54% of them from standing. Where he is the most deadly is on the ground, he has massive ground and pound and he averages 5.2 ground strikes landed per fight and sometimes that’s 4.2 too many if you’re his opponent. He’s a strong man and he can control a fighter on the mat. Samson Miodek has won 4 straight and his most impressive was his last where he took the belt from Vyacheslav Romanov at SNF 7. Miodek has very good power, he can get TKO wins while on top of someone on the mat, but he also has shown he can hurt people with kicks and put them out with punches too. What he likes to do is take a fight in the clinch and dirty box, he is an excellent dirty boxer as he can really wear out his opponents there. He has very good take down skills, and once he’s on the mat the fight usually ends there. He is averaging 12.1 ground strikes and he is landing 68% of them. He can be submitted there as he tends to get a little careless. These guys do a ton of their damage on the ground, but Miodek can do damage in the clinch while Odin has slightly better kick boxing skills. This is going to be one great fight. PREDICTION: Miodek 3rd round TKO
Welterweight Title Fight
#1 Dominick Napolitano (7-3, 7-2 NGF) v C-Aurelius Schultes (15-5-1, 3-1 NGF)
I can’t wait for this fight; it looks so good and interesting in print and with 10 OTN awards between them, it’s sure to have fireworks. Dominick Napolitano has won 3 in a row and 6 of his last 7, and that 1 loss was to whom? Aurelius Schultes. In the first fight, Napolitano was destroyed on the ground, he could not keep from getting taken down and he could not get out from the bottom. Napolitano can often go fights without really looking that tired, he is a super conditioned fighter, but he does not have the killer instinct at times, he will get into a point battle and so far, they have gone his way winning 4 times out of 6. Napolitano plays a bit of the counter game, he is very good at it, he is excellent at the bob and weave and counter land. He is averaging 29.7 leg kicks a fight and he just destroys his opponents legs and by the 3rd round his opponents can hardly move. He fights well in all areas and he’s getting 60% of his stand up take downs and landing 53% of his ground strikes. Aurelius Schultes is 5-1 over his last 6 fights and he has 4 finishes in that span, including 2 straight TKO wins. He does a lot of his damage on the mat, he has very powerful and overwhelming ground striking, he averages 14.4 ground strikes per fight and is landing 54% of them. He isn’t a overly accurate fighter, but he has very good power and he looks to land big shots instead of quick jabs. He is fine with loading up for big shots because his defense has been so good, but he is averaging 4.8 head punches landed per fight to his opponents 8.8. To beat Schultes, Napolitano has to stay off his back, he has to try and land strikes more often and try to get Schultes hurt and playing defense instead of shooting for takedowns. This one is going to be great. PREDICTION: Napolitano decision win
Welterweight Fight
Yusuke Urameshi (10-6, 2-2 NGF) v #11 Daemon Mustacho (7-3, 5-3 NGF)
What we have here is one fighter on his way up and one fighter on his way down. Yusuke Urameshi has won 2 straight fights, but will get a major test against a former champion who will no doubt come into this fight extremely angry. Urameshi is an aggressive fighter; he is averaging 11 head punches and over 27 kicks standing, including 14.2 leg kicks. He lands a good percentage of his strikes also, 78% of his head punches, 63% of his head kicks, 85% of his leg kicks and 79% of his body kicks. He has shown fantastic striking defense also, holding his opponents to under 43% on all standing strikes. He is not a ground fighter, but he has shown very good ground striking defense. The problem with Urameshi is he has a bit of a bad chin; he can get rocked pretty easy when a punch does land. Daemon Mustacho is on a bad losing streak, he has been very disappointed over his last 3 fights and he needs to turn this around now. Mustacho is super fun to watch fight, he is aggressive, he is creative and he leaves it all out there in that octagon. He is one of the best conditioned fighters in the organization, he is built to go 5 rounds, so 3 rounds are a breeze. He is averaging 35.6 head punches standing per fight he is also averaging 13.8 body punches. He uses a nice mix of leg kicks and punches and he will also take a fight to the clinch where he’s landing 63% of his head punches. He has elite take down defense, successfully defending 92% of take downs. There are two problems that have come up with Mustacho, he does get cut a lot and his power isn’t that great, he has 3 decision wins and 3 decision loses. He has got to get back to looking to land a few more power strikes and take these fights out of the judges hands, because 1 or 2 of these decisions could have very easily gone his way. I like Mustacho to get back in the win column in this one. PREDICTION: Mustacho 2nd round TKO
Middleweight Fight
Jack Kessler (8-5, 0-2 NGF) v #10 Heath Marcum (7-3, 4-2 NGF)
Jack Kessler has already been in a lot of good battles that could have gone either way. He is talented and very skilled; it’s just a matter of time before he gets his first NGF win. Kessler is struggling, no doubts there, he is just 1-3 in his last 4, but he has the wrestling skills to dominate. He is landing 60% of his head punches standing, so he is dangerous at kick boxing range also and he has shown good striking defense and take down skills. Once on the ground he can be very dominating, averaging 15 ground strikes per fight and 1.8 submissions. His submission skills are lacking as he’s not submitted anyone yet, but he has good power from the mount. Heath Marcum is now on a 2 fight losing streak after starting 4-0 in the NGF. He is holding onto a top 10 ranking by a thread and that thread has a name, Jack Kessler. Like Kessler, he is a good ground fighter, he has sensational wrestling skills and he’ll stay standing only long enough to throw some weird punch or kick that doesn’t look like it would hurt a child, then he’ll shoot. He is averaging 6.3 take downs per fight and he’s successful on 1.6 per fight. On the ground he becomes a beast, averaging 20.9 ground strikes and 1.4 submission attempts. He is also good at controlling his opponent on the mat and not allowing them to improve. Now he can get a little over aggressive and that has opened him up to being submitted, but that’s only been 1 time. This will be a monster ground battle. What I can see happening is the better stand up fighter, Kessler could defend a few take downs, wear Marcum down and land more stand up strikes. PREDICTION: Kessler 2nd round TKO
PRELIM CARD
Light Heavyweight Fight
#15 Sioux Sie (8-4, 2-2 NGF) v Tommy Victorio (7-4, 0-1 NGF)
Sioux Sie is a interesting fighter, he’s hard to figure out, he can look so good one fight then just look lost in another. He is a decent stand up fighter, but that’s because of his excellent striking defense, he can be elusive and that allows him to shoot in for perfect double leg take downs. He is getting 52% of his take downs and when he gets a fight down, he’ll use his black belt bjj skills to lock up submissions. He has no ground and pound game, but he is getting 15% of his averaged 2.8 submission attempts per fight. Tommy Victorio is 0-3 in his last 4 fights and has 1 NC. What is in question now after 3 straight KO losses is his chin. Victorio will use a lot of leg kicking to try and slow down his opponents and when the time is right he’ll shoot in and get a take down. He’ll keep it standing longer than Sie will, but Victorio will take it to the ground; he just isn’t a great ground fighter. I think this fight will be won on the ground, someone is getting submitted, but it could go either way. PREDICTION: Sie 2nd round submission
Middleweight Fight
#13 Leroy Guns (8-5, 3-1 NGF) v Ed Nesi (2-3, 1-1 NGF)
Leroy Guns is 3-1 in his last 4 with 2 UD wins and 1 submission win. He uses good defense and a counter style to set up take downs, he isn’t great at getting take downs as he’s only successful on 20% of them. He is a very good ground fighter where he can control and ground strike very well. Ed Nesi is a stand up fighter, he is a polar opposite of Guns, he has elite Muay Thai skills and he’ll go to the clinch as soon as he can. He has to avoid the ground, because he just isn’t good there. He can dominate in the clinch, averaging 2.4 elbows, 12.8 knees to the head and 7.6 knees to the body per fight. We’ll see Guns trying to get this to the mat and Nesi trying to clinch, one note here, Guns is successful on 33% of his take down attempts from the clinch. PREDICTION: Guns decision win
Heavyweight Fight
Bob Probert (5-6 NGF) v Armand Battailen (8-4, 4-3 NGF)
Two guys fighting their last fight in NGF, at least that’s the thought. Bob Probert just looks like a big guy with heavy hands…that’s it. He doesn’t look like he’s learned or gotten any better since the 1st fight I saw him fight. He has no defense, he doesn’t land a high percentage of strikes and he’s terrible on the ground, this should be his last MMA fight. Armand Battailen is much better than Probert, he has much better defensive skills and he also can fight in the clinch. He has very good knees from the clinch and he’ll hurt Probert with them. This one is all Battailen, he just has to be careful of the 1 punch power from Probert. PREDICTION: Battailen decision win
Middleweight Fight
Andrzej Golotowski (1-4 NGF) v Joe Laynpray (10-9, 0-2 NGF)
This card gets started with to struggling fighters in Andrzej Golotowski and Joe Laynpray. Golotowski is a decent stand up fighter, but his problems are simple, he has no defense and is terrible defending take downs. He’s getting taken down at a 77% rate and he is allowing 79% of head punches to land. He is terrible on the ground also, so this combination equals 1-4 record. Joe Laynpray has now lost 3 straight fights and seems to be searching for a identity. He is a terrible stand up fighter, he has no kick boxing skills. He is averaging 9.6 take down attempts per fight and is successful on 33% of them. On the mat he is landing 65% of his averaged 23.1 ground strikes attempted per fight. He doesn’t have any defense to speak of and on the ground, as much as he throws; he also gets hit a lot and can be submitted pretty easily. PREDICTION: Laynpray 1st round TKO
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