2013-08-16
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NGF 67 | Murosaki vs Allen

Event Preview: NGF 67 | Murosaki vs Allen
New Generation Fighters
2013-08-10, St Petersburg, The Docks
Author:Chad Didion

MAIN CARD 
Main Event
Featherweight Fight
#1 Barry Allen (11-2, 3-1 NGF) v C-Koji Murosaki (10-2, 8-2 NGF)
Barry Allen gets his 2nd crack at the featherweight title.  When you think of Allen you think of one thing, head kicks.  Allen may have the best head kicks in the entire organization, he averages 3.2 head kicks per fight, he lands 46% of them and he has 4 head kick KO’s.  His kicking overall is very good and he loves to attack and punish his opponent’s legs.  He’ll fight in the clinch and has done ok at times, but he doesn’t win rounds there.  He will avoid the ground at all costs.  Allen will have to deal with a very tough, smart and exciting fighter in Koji Murosaki.  Murosaki has 7 OTN awards in his career including 4 SOTN awards.  Murosaki will often look like he’s not doing much as he tries to figure out the perfect way to defeat his opponent, when he figures it out; the outcome is usually quick and efficient as he has seven 1st round victories.  Murosaki has exceptional boxing skills, so he holds his own there, but he makes his money working on the ground, on top or off his back, he’s good at both.  He doesn’t land a lot of ground strikes and he doesn’t have great ground defense, but he is a master at working on submissions and setting up his opponent with his legs and arms.  He is averaging 3.3 submissions per fight and if you don’t get off the ground with him, he will eventually lock one up.  Allen has got to hurt Murosaki early with his kicking, he has got to take away Murosaki’s ability to get good take downs and get Allen into a difficult spot.  If Koji is able to get Allen down quickly this one is probably over.  I’m going to call for a new champion in this one, I think Allen can catch Murosaki with one of those deadly head kicks.  PREDICTION:  Allen 2nd round KO
Co-Main Event: 
Middleweight Title Fight
#11 Marek Jebut (8-2-1, 1-1 NGF) v #12 Jack Kessler (9-5, 1-2 NGF)
Marek Jebut is a solid stand up fighter who has solid striking defense.  He looks to land counter take downs and get the fight to the mat where he can use is sensational wrestling skills and his black belt bjj skills.  He has excellent take down skills as he’s is successful on 50% of his take down attempts.  He averages 18.5 ground strikes per fight and 4.5 submissions and lands 44% of his ground strikes and he has 1 submission victory.  He has elite ground striking defense as he’s holding his opponents to just 11% landing percentage.  Jack Kessler is an excellent fighter who ran into some bad luck and started 0-2 in the NGF.  He lost a decision that in no way he should have lost; a terrible one as one of his losses.  Kessler can fight anywhere; he has powerful striking and can end a fight or at least rock an opponent with any number of ways.  He also has excellent striking defense, he’s a quick man for a middleweight and he is pretty elusive.  He is successful on 53% of his take downs and he can be a beast on the mat.  He is landing 64% of his 14.4 averaged ground strikes and he controls really well.  These guys are going to take this to the mat, they are both very strong fighters on the ground, but I think Kessler has the better power.   PREDICTION:  Kessler 2nd round TKO
Middleweight Fight 
#14 Ed Nesi (3-3, 2-1 NGF) v #5 Milan Savic (8-4 NGF)
Ed Nesi is an elite Muay Thai fighter, who has monster elbows and knees, but he has been in a few real hard fought Muay Thai battles, he is averaging 2.3 elbows per fight and his opponents are averaging 13.3 elbows.  One weird thing for a Muay Thai fighter is the fact that he attempts no kicks. He can get back to his feet well, but he is a liability on the ground.  Former champion Milan Savic is trying to work his way back to the top, but he had a pretty big setback with his last loss at FN 33.  Savic has average stand up skills including average striking defense, but he will go for take downs and try and get the fight to the mat as soon as he can.  He is a strong guy on the ground and he can grind out rounds when he’s on top, but when he’s only landing 7% of his ground strikes, he hardly can be considered dangerous on the mat.  He will attempt close to 5 submissions per fight and he does have good submission skills with 5 submission wins.  Ed Nesi can win this fight in the clinch and standing, he is much better than Savic there, but this one will probably go Savic’s way if it gets to the mat.  PREDICTION:  Nesi 2nd round TKO
Heavyweight Fight
Iosif Kirill (2-1, 0-1 NGF) v #13 Kent Phillips (9-3, 0-0 NGF)
Iosif Kirill is a very skilled guy and at 24 years old, he is still growing.  Kirill has heavy hands and he has done a solid stand up job, but he hasn’t developed any kicking yet.  What he has developed is a good take down skills; he’s completed 71% of his take downs from standing and 100% from the clinch.  He has been really strong on the ground, he is very active and tries to advance, which he does successfully 53% of the time.  He is also averaging 19.3 ground strikes and he’s done a nice job of ground striking defense as well.  Kent Phillips is a former Dawg Pound Elite Fighting and Undisputed Online Championship champion, and he will make his NGF debut in this one.  He’s lost his last 2 and is 2-3 in his last 5, but he has monster power and can end a fight with either hand.  He’s an aggressive guy who can clinch up and pound away with dirty boxing; he is landing 94% of his clinch head punches.  He wants to stay off the ground, but he has done a pretty good job there.  He also has a problem with getting cut, that happens pretty often and quite easily.  The last two fights have been very weird for Phillips, he’s been totally dominated and he just hasn’t done anything offensive, so let’s hope the change of scenery will change his luck.  PREDICTION:  Kirill 2nd round TKO
Welterweight Fight
Lionel Cascara (10-7, 3-5 NGF) v Razor Bush (11-8-1, 6-4 NGF)
Brazil vs the USA in this one as Brazilian Lionel Cascara takes on the American Razor Bush.  Cascara is a below average stand up fighter with zero striking defense, he allows opponents to land 71% of their head punches, 73% of their body punches, 50% of their head kicks, 85% of their leg kicks and 87% of their body kicks.  Cascara is a decent fighter in the clinch, but he is a ground fighter first off.  He does a nice job on the ground, landing 60% of his ground strikes and he has 4 submission wins.  This is a perfect matchup, because Bush is a ground fighter as well, he averages 6.2 take downs per fight and nearly zero stand up strikes.  He has just as bad if not worse striking defense than Cascara and he is good on top on the ground, but he has not been as good from the bottom.  These two guys will likely touch gloves and then just fall on the mat to start this fight.  This is a close one, but I think Cascara can get the job done with his better bjj skills.  PREDICTION:  Cascara 3rd round submission
PRELIM CARD
Lightweight Fight
#14 Neeyo Collin (8-5-1, 5-4-1 NGF) v Makoto Shibasaki (9-7, 7-6 NGF)
Neeyo Collin has had a rough time of late, 0-2 in his last 2 fights and 1-3-1 in his last 5.  Like any ground fighter, when he’s able to get his take downs he’s good, when he struggles with them, he gets hammered on his feet and he struggles.  He averages over 11 ground strikes per fight and he’s completed 10% of his submission attempts, but if he has to stay standing he is in bad shape.  Makoto Shibasaki has really struggled in his last 5 fights going 1-4 and he’s lost 3 straight.  He’s a ground fighter, and just like Collin, he is struggling being consistent with getting his take downs, and when you struggle with them, you tire yourself out and become a easier target to hit.  Shibasaki is landing 61% of his ground strikes and he is a very hard fighter on the ground because he can control pretty good.  He’ll get beat up standing and in the clinch, so he needs to get a fight to the mat.  This fight will be a hard fought ground battle; both guys are desperate for a win so this should be a good one.  PREDICTION:  Collin decision win
Middleweight Fight
Heath Marcum (7-4, 4-3 NGF) v Jon Targaryen (1-1 NGF)
Heath Marcum has fallen like a rock over his last 3 fights, he was once considered a title contender, but after 3 straight losses, he’ll need to string together a bunch of wins to get back to that point.  Marcum is a takedown styled fighter, doesn’t want anything to do with the standup game and when he’s able to get his take downs, he’s great, when he doesn’t he can get pounded and punished.  He’s very hard to fight on the ground, he averages 19.1 ground strikes and he can put his opponent’s lights out with hammer fists and punches.  Jon Targaryen comes from parts unknown in this world, he is very mysterious and his camp doesn’t speak a lot about his training.  He’s a crazy, wild striker who at times doesn’t even look like he knows how to punch; he is landing just 17% of his stand up head punches and 0% of his body punches and combinations.  He is alright in the clinch and on the ground, he again, is active, almost crazy, uncontrolled, he averages 9 ground strikes and 7 submissions per fight, but only lands 22% of the ground strikes and he hasn’t locked up a single submission yet.  Marcum is the more polished fighter here, I think he should be able to win this, but we’ll see if Targaryen has learned anything more, we know he’s training in an elite gym.  PREDICTION:  Marcum decision win
Heavyweight Fight
John Torrio (2-1 NGF) v Andrew Golota (11-6, 6-4 NGF)
John Torrio has looked ok to start his MMA career, but he still has a lot of room to grown.  Torrio has shown good stand up striking, but he has been awful on the ground, allowing opponents to land 77% of their ground strikes.  He looks for a lot of submissions and he did lock up 1 so far.  Andrew Golota has waited a long time for a fight and that means a lot of gym time, we’ll see what part of his game has improved.  He’s 1-3 over his last 4 fights and all 3 of the losses have been by TKO.  He’s a good stand up fighter with average striking defense, but he loses rounds when he has to fight on the ground.  Torrio will win this fight if it goes to the ground, but Golota has the standup advantage.  PREDICTION:  Torrio 2nd round submission
Middleweight Fight
John Clayton (5-3 NGF) v Boleslaw Krol (7-4, 3-2 NGF)
I think John Clayton has all the skills to be a really good fighter, but he seems to be missing something.  He shows good striking defense, he has good striking, and elite take down skills.  On the ground he can be very good, but his problem is he’s terrible on his back.  Boleslaw Krol likes to get a fight to the mat where he is averaging 18.3 ground strikes per fight.  He has good ground striking, but he allows his opponent to improve far too easily at 73% success rate.  This fight will be a ground fight and I would say Clayton can win this if he stays off his back.  PREDICTION:  Clayton decision win
Middleweight Fight
Andrzej Golotowski (1-5 NGF) v Dennis Bird (8-4, 1-2 NGF)
Andrzej Golotowski has just not been able to figure out NGF fighters.  Golotowski doesn’t do anything really good and nothing really bad, but he just can’t seem to win.  He has solid striking, but he often can be off balance and get put into bad situations, he’s been TKO’ed, submitted and lost a decision, just bad luck for this guy.  Dennis Bird is on his 4th manager already, which probably says a lot about this guy.  Bird shows talent, but his heart can be questioned.  He has had a handful of fights where he seems to just give up when things turn bad.  I would like to say Bird can win this fight, but I would not be surprised if Golotowski ends up dropping Bird late.  PREDICTION:  Golotowski 3rd round TKO
 

 

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