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 Vale Tudo Fight Club Preview (Card Subject to Change)
Event: VTFC 1: New Breed - 31/3/2016 @ The Underground - Montreal
And so it begins -- the birth of a new organization in Montreal. Please remember that many of the fighters are new, so the data we have on them is limited.
#1 (205 lbs) - Kalebra (289427) (0-1-0) vs. Thane (289345) (0-1-0)
In the first match of the evening, we have Leon "The Cleaner" Kalebra coming to us by way of Paris, France taking on Thomas "Right-Hook" Thane who hails from Harrisburgh in the United States. Both men suffered a defeat in their MMA debuts, but tonight should change the fortunes of one of these men, (unless they draw, that'd be disappointing for them). Thane is the shorter of the fighters, which should make it easier to secure the takedown on Kalebra. Thane will also be able to keep better check of his shorter limbs, potentially preventing them from being isolated. Kalebra will be looking to get to the ground and lock in a submission while Thane will look to ground and pound his way to victory.
Prediction: Kalebra by 1st round submission. Thane does not have the defensive skills to avoid the submission. Kalebra should be able to take advantage of Thane's one dimensional offense and get the win.
#2 (185 lbs) - Kincaid (284410) (1-0-0) vs. Ferrara (289347) (1-0-0)
In the second bout of the evening, we have a striker taking on a submission specialist. If Kincaid can remaining standing, he should be able to take Ferrara out with ease. Ferrara will be seeking the takedown, but that will prove to be a challenge against Kincaid's defense. If Ferrara gets to the ground, he will get the easy submission. Kincaid is a bit tall, which will make him easier to takedown. Kincaid's longer limbs will also increase the risk of submissions. It is also worth noting that Kincaid has a tough weight cut ahead of him.
Prediction: Ferrara by 1st round submission. Kincaid's height advantage is going to play against him in this one. If Kincaid isn't careful, he will also be coming into this fight tired due to the weight cut. Keeping those factors in mind, Ferrara should be able to survive long enough to grab a takedown and get the submission locked in.
#3 (155 lbs) - Tomas (289778) (1-0-0) vs. Jamison (282539) (0-0-0)
In this next fight, we have two wrestlers facing off. Tomas is shorter, which should play to his favor. Tomas is also the slightly better wrestler and has the slight experience edge. Both men are even in terms of submission skill. Jamison has an advantage in the stand-up department, but his skills are nothing to write home about there.
Prediction: Tomas by decision. Tomas has the advantage on the ground and will eek out the decision win here... or Tomas may land enough strikes to get the TKO finish. Tomas will have to be careful to not get too aggressive in this one, as Jamison could still lock the submission in.
#4 (185 lbs) - Jobber (289569) (2-0-0) vs. Meech (199604) (25-33-0)
Someone is going to complain about how this one isn't fair. Save it. Meech has been on a terrible streak and has taken a huge morale hit. Experience will help, but we'll see if that can override the poor mental conditioning of Meech. Jobber, despite the name, has already had two dominant victories. Meech has sloppy striking and has shown a weakness on the ground. Jobber is a wrestler, so this plays in his favor
Prediction: Jobber by 2nd round (T)KO. Jobber shouldn't have too much trouble taking Meech down. Meech has a pretty strong chin, so it'll be difficult for Jobber to get the early TKO. Meech's experience in this one will be the X-factor. Meech might be able to weather the storm and manage the decision victory, like he did against a similar wrestler in his last bout.
#5 (185 lbs) - Bennett (289610) (0-1-0) vs. Hinojosa (289800) (1-0-0)
Despite having great Muay Thai skills, Hinojosa has a tendency to shoot for takedowns despite having bad groundwork. Bennett is a great wrestling resume and should be able to win out on the ground. If Hinojosa gets his game together, he can easily win this one with his powerful knees.
Prediction: Bennett by decision. Bennett is going to brutalize Hinojosa on the ground. If Hinojosa doesn't figure out a new gameplan, he's going to lose. Simple as that.
#6 (145 lbs) - Hansen (208737) (22-19-0) vs. Unikeko (239395) (10-11-0)
Two more than experienced fighters prepare to step into the cage once again. Hanson is 11 years older than Unikeko. Hansen is mentally a little hurt due to his recent performances. Unikeko is a very balanced and talented competitor, so Hanson will have difficulty in every area. Hanson has the slight disadvantage in all areas other than BJJ.
Prediction: Unikeko by decision. Unikeko just has the advantage in all areas, so he should be able to take Hanson to the ground and easily grind out the victory.
#7 (135 lbs) - Larkin (290148) (0-0-0) vs. Yakuza (245140) (4-35-0)
I'm... uhhh... sorry about this one? Yakuza is a 33 year old fighter who has a less than stellar record and seems to be just grabbing paychecks. Yakuza only weighs 112 pounds and is physically exhausted. Yakuza has strong Muay Thai skills to play against Larkin's strong boxing and wrestling skillset.
Prediction: Larkin by 1st round (T)KO. Yakuza is going into this with a weight disadvantage and very tired, so expect Larkin to manage to take advantage of his weakened opponent.
#8 (185 lbs) - Kadota (96673) (21-6-0) vs. Pennypacker (235397) (10-6-1)
These are two fighters could easily be working in an org where they could be paid much, much more than what they are now. Kadota has a great record and has been around for a while, but he's currently 42 years old. Kadota's skills have degraded quite a bit due to his age. Kadota is a very well-founded fighter, but is past his prime. Pennypacker has the advantage in every category.
Prediction: Pennypacker by 3rd round (T)KO. Pennypacker should be able to outstrike his older opponent. Kadota is past his prime and will unfortunately have a tough time getting the victory.
CO-MAIN EVENT (155 lbs) - Comblin (152297) (34-27-0) vs. Stapleden (203260) (18-11-0)
Two more older fighters who could be making so much more money elsewhere. These two are nearly identical everywhere except for in the BJJ department where Comblin has the advantage. However, Comblin is mentally hurt following his recent performances. In an interesting turn of events, Comblin was actually previously managed by Stapleden's current manager. Insider information~
Prediction: Stapleden by decision. Comblin is so mentally beaten up that I think Stapleden will be able to control Comblin during the fight.
MAIN EVENT (170 lbs) - Ring (171726) (29-19-1) vs. Baliwag (289776) (1-0-0)
Alright, so this is a bit of a weird Main Event. We have a rookie taking on an experienced veteran in this one. Ring has the advantage in every aspect except for wrestling, where the men are virtually even. Ring is currently on a two-fight losing streak and has some incredible morale issues.
Prediction: Ring by 2nd round (T)KO. In a five round fight, there is no way that Baliwag can manage to force the decision. Baliwag could take advantage of his opponent's mental state to get him to the ground and work him over, but Ring doesn't seem like the type of fighter to get knocked out very easily. Ring will just destroy Baliwag while standing, and unless the takedown happens, Baliwag stands very little chance. I admire your gusto Baliwag, but this is a stretch. Please prove me wrong though, as I would love to see you pull out the win and upset Ring.
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