|
.png) Latrobe Arundel Vs Pekka Toivonen PREVIEW
Mannetosen logic meets Alika math.
This nonsensical preview has been brought to you by Urban Fighter. Need to stand out on your way to the cage? Come and see what Urban Fighter has in store for you!
Mannetosen, on 2 August 2020 – 9:15 PM, said:
“Wins, losses and records are boring. What matters is the likelyhood of someone getting knocked unconscious.”
Let’s take this rule of thumb and see what the MMATycoon Money fight looks like in numbers when Mannetosen rules apply:
Latrobe Arundel has 19 KO or TKO finishes under his belt, now that’s impressive. He has never been defeated by KO or TKO. Giving him a Mannetosen record of 19-0, giving him a winning percentage of 100%. Theoretically this gives him 100% chance of winning his next fight.
Pekka Toivonen has 21 KO or TKO finishes on his resume, also impressive I might add. Unfortunately, he also has a TKO loss on his record, amassing a 21-1 Mannetosen record in total. Let’s round that up to about 95% chance of him winning his next fight. Which unfortunately also means he has a 5% chance of losing by Mannetosen logic.
Now, what about Pekka’s kickboxing record? Well, since we’re already busy doing math. He’s got 4 strong finishes on his KT record and he’s never been stopped during that time in his career. Let’s add those 4 fights and we get a new Mannetosen record of 25-1. Well, that means he should have a 96% chance of winning the Money fight. But also around 4% of him losing.
Take the 100% chance of Latrobe Arundel winning and add the 5% and the 4% of Pekka losing and we conclude that Latrobe Arundel has a 109% chance of winning.
Now, you may say this is complete bullocks. And you’re right. We should still look at their entire records.
Latrobe Arundel has a total record of 21-2. So the chances of him winning a fight are around 91%.
Pekka Toivonen on the other hand has a record of 24-7. What’s the chances of him winning a fight? Let’s bring out the calculators! The calculators have spoken. Their verdict? A whopping 77% of winning. Which also means there’s 23% chance he might lose.
Let’s not forget about Pekka’s KT record. In total this gives him a record of 30-8. Which rounds up to about 79% of winning. And thus 21% of him losing.
Now let’s add the 91% chance of Latrobe Arundel winning and add the 23% and the 21% of Pekka losing and we get a 135% chance that Latrobe Arundel will win their fight. Add that to the 109% he already had of winning by Mannetosen logic and that means Latrobe Arundel has a dominating 244% chance of winning against Pekka Toivonen!
If the numbers are to be believed - and many mathematicians have claimed that numbers don’t lie - that means Pekka is in a world of trouble should this fight go as advertised.
Looking back at it, I’m such a wizard with numbers! I wonder, if I would send this to my old school, would they send me a formal apology back for all those times they failed me in math or would they just give me back my tuition?
Article views:
139
» Donate to this author |
